Occasionally the tyranny of distance can be your friend and being a little isolated and removed from the debt crisis fallout in Europe is certainly a good thing at this juncture. However while activities in these larger markets do have an impact on our funding cost the severity of their impact is lessened. Nonetheless, the financial mess that is Europe is likely to see interest rates held at their current low levels here until first quarter of 2012.

Locally, while the property market remains flat it is being readied for a strong 2012 on the back of the Christchurch rebuild and we are already starting to see positive signs in the powerhouse Auckland market with well-priced houses moving very quickly.

Of course we are half way through one of the strongest economic spend booms of the past 5 years thanks to the oval ball and although this light relief really will be a temporary measure, it does clearly add fuel to our positive growth.

As we enter the last quarter of 2011 we can’t see markets in Europe moving doing enough to put any pressure on interest rates internationally and therefore locally, as such we believe that it may not be until the end of first quarter or mid second quarter of 2012 before we see any movement in interest rates.

With the potential sting out of any interest rate rise for the immediate future we are reverting to our recommended strategy of early this year and suggest that the price of variable interest rate money at the moment is too good to pass up and with little risk over the next 6 months we should all enjoy the mid to high 5% interest rates currently available.

However, the above strategy does come with a caveat. You need to keep your eyes and ears open for when rates do start to move in 2012 as we are at current record lows and at some point in 2012 it will be wise to lock in for a period at these historically low rates. In fact some of our clients have been sufficiently tempted with currently available 3 year money at 6.5%. And why not?

About Campbell Hastie

Cam is one half of Auckland based mortgage brokers, The Go 2 Guys.

He makes a living by sharing what he knows about mortgages with people, arranging mortgages for people and then insuring people.

He doesn't claim to know everything about mortgages himself which is why he teamed up with David Mercer — hence the ‘2’ in Go 2 Guys.

He writes posts regularly on his blog and has been told he has an ability to share his knowledge in a simple and sometimes memorable way.

Feel free to comment and ask any questions. Contact Campbell Hastie m: 027 697 7789.

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